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Markets & hours

How to read an economic calendar

What each column and impact rating means, when the main releases come out in your time zone, and what can happen around them.

NextTrade Education TeamUpdated 8 min read

Key takeaways

  • An economic calendar lists scheduled data releases and central bank decisions with their date, time, consensus, previous and actual figures.
  • The impact rating is the provider's estimate of how much activity a release may bring, not a prediction of direction.
  • Set the calendar's time zone to your city; US and European releases shift an hour with daylight saving.
  • Spreads can widen and prices jump around major releases; a stop loss may be filled at a worse price than you set.

What an economic calendar shows

An economic calendar is a table of scheduled events: data releases (economic indicators) and central bank decisions. Providers list the same official events; the impact ratings and consensus figures are their own. This guide applies to any calendar, in your platform or a public one.

  • Date and time: in the calendar's time zone (see below).
  • Currency or country: the economy the figure describes, often a flag or a code such as USD.
  • Event: the release's name, usually with its period, for example "CPI (Sep)".
  • Impact: the provider's low, medium or high rating.
  • Actual, consensus and previous: the row's three figures.

Actual, consensus and previous

These are the glossary's actual, consensus and previous: consensus is the median or average of economists' estimates collected before the release, previous the figure for the period before, actual the published figure. Calendars label the consensus column Consensus, Expected or Forecast; this guide says consensus.

Actual minus consensus is what commentators call a surprise. Units differ by release (a percentage change on the month or year, thousands of jobs, index points, a rate level), so read the unit before comparing.

Previous is often revised when the new figure comes out; calendars show the revised value, sometimes with a mark, which changes what the new figure is compared with.

What the impact rating means, and what it does not

Calendars mark each event low, medium or high impact with colours, bars or icons; red usually means high. The rating is the provider's estimate of how active markets may be around the event, judged by the attention it gets, not a statement about the direction of prices; two calendars can rate the same event differently.

High-impact events are where volatility and the spread change most often; they can coincide with higher volatility and wider spreads.

Ratings describe attention, not direction

A high rating means many participants are watching. It says nothing about whether a figure above or below consensus moves a price up or down, nor by how much.

The releases you will see most often

In Latin America the calendar is dominated by US data and central bank decisions, since the US dollar is one side of EUR/USD and USD/MXN; an interest rate decision is usually rated high impact.

  • NFP: the monthly change in US paid jobs outside farming, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) with the unemployment rate.
  • CPI: consumer price inflation; the BLS in the United States, INEGI in Mexico (the INPC).
  • GDP: total output, usually quarterly, as a first estimate then revisions.
  • PMI: a monthly survey of purchasing managers; above 50 means activity grew according to the survey.
  • Federal Reserve (FOMC), ECB and Banxico rate decisions: meeting dates are published in advance; the decision and the press conference or statement are separate rows.

Commentators call a statement hawkish or dovish: labels for its tone, not instructions.

Release times in Latin American time

Every calendar shows times in one zone; check which before reading a time. Publishers announce times in their local time; the first table converts four to UTC. US Eastern Time is UTC−4 around July and UTC−5 around January, Frankfurt UTC+2 and UTC+1, Mexico City UTC−6 all year; the forex market hours guide lists the daylight saving dates.

Publication times in UTC

Four releases in local time and UTC (as of 29 October 2026)
ReleasePublisher's local timeUTC, around JulyUTC, around January
NFP and CPI (BLS)08:30 Eastern Time12:3013:30
FOMC statement (Federal Reserve)14:00 Eastern Time18:0019:00
ECB decision14:15 Frankfurt time12:1513:15
Banxico announcement13:00 Mexico City time19:0019:00

Around July

Local time around July (approximate)
ReleaseMexico City (UTC−6)Bogotá and Lima (UTC−5)Buenos Aires (UTC−3)
NFP and CPI06:3007:3009:30
FOMC statement12:0013:0015:00
ECB decision06:1507:1509:15
Banxico announcement13:0014:0016:00

Around January

Local time around January (approximate)
ReleaseMexico City (UTC−6)Bogotá and Lima (UTC−5)Buenos Aires (UTC−3)
NFP and CPI07:3008:3010:30
FOMC statement13:0014:0016:00
ECB decision07:1508:1510:15
Banxico announcement13:0014:0016:00

Santiago uses UTC−4 around July, one hour later than Bogotá and Lima (NFP at 08:30, FOMC at 14:00, ECB at 08:15, Banxico at 15:00), and UTC−3 around January, the same as Buenos Aires.

US and European clocks change on different dates: from the second Sunday of March to the last Sunday of March, and from the last Sunday of October to the first Sunday of November, a release can be an hour off these tables; your calendar's own time is what counts. Agencies reschedule releases and central banks can act between meetings; times are as of 29 October 2026.

What can happen around a release

Around a high-impact release, liquidity can thin and spreads widen; a price can jump from one quote to the next (a gap) and orders fill at the next available price (slippage). A stop loss inside a gap fills at the next price, which can be worse than your level; a take profit can also fill at a different price. Margin requirements can also change.

Keeping positions open through a release, closing them first or only reading the calendar is your decision; this guide describes no tactic for those minutes. A demo account lets you watch a release without money at stake.

Reading a calendar step by step

  1. Set the time zone to your city and check today's date.
  2. Filter by the currencies you trade: USD and MXN for USD/MXN, USD and EUR for EUR/USD.
  3. Note the week's high-impact rows and their times; many fall in the London–New York overlap of the trading sessions in the hours guide.
  4. Before each release, read the consensus and previous figures and their unit.
  5. At release time, compare actual with consensus and check whether previous was revised.
  6. If a figure looks odd, open the publisher's page: calendars can show stale or mistyped values.

Sources and dates

Times checked against the publishers' own schedules on 29 October 2026; not NextTrade's data, and they can change. The publishers' pages are the reference:

  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics — Employment Situation and CPI schedules — bls.gov/schedule — as of 29 October 2026
  • Federal Reserve — FOMC calendars; statement of 16 September 2026 — federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm — as of 29 October 2026
  • European Central Bank — meeting calendar; press release of 27 June 2022 on decision times — ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars — as of 29 October 2026
  • Banco de México — Calendario para los anuncios de las decisiones de política monetaria 2026 — banxico.org.mx — as of 29 October 2026

Hypothetical example: reading one calendar row and converting its time

Event
US CPI, monthly (hypothetical row)
Time shown
08:30, US Eastern Time, around January
Consensus
0.3%
Previous
0.2%
Actual (published)
0.4%
  1. 08:30 Eastern Time around January = 08:30 + 5 h = 13:30 UTC
  2. 13:30 UTC − 6 h = 07:30 in Mexico City; − 5 h = 08:30 in Bogotá and Lima; − 3 h = 10:30 in Buenos Aires
  3. Actual − consensus = 0.4% − 0.3% = +0.1 percentage point
  4. Actual − previous = 0.4% − 0.2% = +0.2 percentage points

Result: 0.1 percentage point above consensus at 07:30 Mexico City time; what prices did next, the calendar does not say

Before trading, read the risk note.

Risk note

Contracts for Differences (CFDs) are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.

The release times in this guide are approximate, were checked on 29 October 2026 and can change. Spreads can widen and prices can gap around releases, and orders may fill at a worse price than you set. See the Risk Disclosure Policy for the full risks.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the US jobs report (NFP) in Mexico?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Employment Situation report, with Non-Farm Payrolls, at 08:30 US Eastern Time: 06:30 in Mexico City (UTC−6) around July and 07:30 around January, since the United States changes its clocks and Mexico City does not. Bogotá and Lima are one hour later.

What is the consensus figure on an economic calendar?

The consensus is the typical estimate, usually the median, of the economists a data provider surveyed before the release; calendars label the column Consensus, Expected or Forecast. Actual is compared with it when commentators talk of a surprise. It is a third-party estimate, not an official figure.

Why does the previous figure change after a release?

Statistics agencies revise earlier figures as more complete data arrive, so the previous value can change when the new release comes out, usually with a mark. That changes the base: the same actual figure can sit above the old previous value and below the revised one.

Does NextTrade have an economic calendar?

Not on this website at the moment; this guide applies to any calendar, in your platform or a public one. Whichever you use, set its time zone to your city, check odd times against the publisher's schedule, and treat its ratings and consensus figures as the provider's estimates.

Practise on a demo account

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